WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $26.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called
$26.9k
BUY No @ 96¢ · 28,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet millanos took No (buy) for $26.9k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $26.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96¢
Implied odds
96.0%
Size
$26.9k
Placed
May 30, 06:18 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
millanos
Tx
0x9b5e6232…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-8.8 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
No price · entry 96¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96¢ · $26.9k WHALE $26.9K @ 96¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0x9561…5497145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.8k0% madril145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Alphax145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.1k
4.0× usual
0% strike123145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Thaws145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Wogg145d agoexcluded