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What this means. A wallet put $24.0k on Croatia, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: England (-1.5)excluded
$24.0k
BUY Croatia @ 55¢ · 43,636 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet RN1 took Croatia (buy) for $24.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if Croatia wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
55.0%
As American odds
−122 no vig
Size
$24.0k
Placed
Jun 17, 16:35 EDT
Market close
Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
Result
England
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
RN1
Tx
0x9abe91ae…

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Croatia price · entry 55¢ · resolved England
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $24.0k WHALE $24.0K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $21.8k0% richrichrichsad128d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $12.7k0% 0010001000001100128d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ $53.9k
3.5× usual
0% TB14128d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY England @ 92¢ $20.3k92% swisstony PROVEN128d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW SELL England @ 50¢ $19.6k50% IAMLOVER128d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED BUY Croatia @ 53¢ $58.9k53% 0x3dfb…abaf128d agoexcluded