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Spread: England (-1.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $58.9k on Croatia, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: England (-1.5)excluded$58.9k
BUY Croatia @ 53¢ · 111,110 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Croatia (buy) for $58.9k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $58.9k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Croatia wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $58.9k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 16:32 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 17, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3dfb…abaf
- Tx
- 0xa10eeb8b…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsCroatia price · entry 53¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $53.9k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW BUY England @ 92¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW SELL England @ 50¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | LOW BUY Croatia @ 55¢ | $24.0k | excluded |