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What this means. A wallet put $40.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?excluded
$40.4k
BUY Yes @ 70¢ · 57,886 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet SquareBobSpongePants took Yes (buy) for $40.4k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $40.4k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−230American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
70¢
Implied odds
69.7%
As American odds
−230 no vig
Size
$40.4k
Placed
Jun 24, 19:51 EDT
Market close
Jun 24, 18:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
SquareBobSpongePants
Tx
0x9aa7d26c…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.8 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +30 pts
Yes price · entry 70¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 70¢ · $40.4k WHALE $40.4K @ 70¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.4k0% PMM888122d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.4k0% btc999888122d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ $47.6k
3.3× usual
32% 0x0f34…7684122d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% xSahur122d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $371.5k0% Latina122d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $226.2k
6.9× usual
0% DOKTORDOOFENSCHMIRZ122d agoexcluded