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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +34.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+34.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$101.4k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±47.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$42.3k
Last 30 days −$131 · $3.70M volume · 894 trades · since Jun 23, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$9,535
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$13.1k
Closed-position win rate
47%
118 closed
Wallet age · markets
124d
128 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +34.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 76¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $15.2k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 77¢ | $19.0k | called |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $17.1k | missed |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $13.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x621967…