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Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded
What this means. A wallet put $21.8k on not Under, at a price that gave it a 72% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5excluded$21.8k
SELL Under @ 28¢ · 77,777 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Under (sell) for $21.8k at an average 28¢. At that price the market implied a 72% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 28¢
- Implied odds
- 72.0%
- As American odds
- −257 no vig
- Size
- $21.8k
- Placed
- Jul 03, 15:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 03, 14:00 EDT
- Result
- Over
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x3dfb…abaf
- Tx
- 0x9a9a913d…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +28 ptsUnder price · entry 28¢ · resolved Over · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 74¢ | $96.7k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 83¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 85¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | MED BUY Over @ 62¢ | $86.0k | excluded |
| Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 38¢ | $11.6k | excluded |