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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on Argentina, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.8k
BUY Argentina @ 78¢ · 20,400 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet alqasmmii took Argentina (buy) for $15.8k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−344American odds
$1.00paid per share if Argentina wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 77.5%
- As American odds
- −344 no vig
- Size
- $15.8k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 23:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- alqasmmii
- Tx
- 0x99aba5e9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+32.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $189.2k 11.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $22.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $26.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |