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What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?excluded
$14.9k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 32,294 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet zhuz632 took Yes (buy) for $14.9k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
46¢
Implied odds
46.0%
As American odds
+117 no vig
Size
$14.9k
Placed
Jun 19, 22:53 EDT
Market close
Jun 19, 23:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
zhuz632
Tx
0x97caa8de…
This wallet's graded record
11/19+6.4 pts
expected 9.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -46 pts
Yes price · entry 46¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 46¢ · $14.9k WHALE $14.9K @ 46¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.6k0% YINGJIEYU126d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $22.9k100% Jackenxand126d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $27.0k100% vad1126d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $20.2k91% GoalLineGhost126d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?HIGH BUY No @ 89¢ $396.3k
14.9× usual
89% swisstony PROVEN126d agoexcluded
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $89.0k
2.1× usual
89% 0x2c33…0563126d agoexcluded