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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Yes @ 77¢ · 13,070 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xa6da…3fce took Yes (buy) for $10.0k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−326American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 76.5%
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Nov 25, 08:43 EST
- Market close
- Nov 27, 19:33 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xa6da…3fce
- Tx
- 0x97bae01c…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-76.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -77 ptsYes price · entry 77¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $74.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |