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What this means. A wallet put $60.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?called
$60.1k
BUY No @ 90¢ · 67,078 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1h2× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet Batundi took No (buy) for $60.1k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $60.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−863American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
89.6%
Size
$60.1k
Placed
May 25, 18:44 EDT
Market close
May 25, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Batundi
Tx
0x977b99bd…
This wallet's graded record
9/12-4.4 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +10 pts
No price · entry 90¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 90¢ · $60.1k WHALE $60.1K @ 90¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $17.6k0% 5245242150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% SomeoneIn2077150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $76.2k
2.3× usual
0% Pajamapants150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% badbbd150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% Circlebite150d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $21.6k100% d1k21150d agoexcluded