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What this means. A wallet put $29.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$29.0k
SELL Yes @ 41¢ · 71,027 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet mombil took Yes (sell) for $29.0k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $29.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 59.2%
- Size
- $29.0k
- Placed
- May 23, 23:23 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mombil
- Tx
- 0x96df0aa1…
This wallet's graded record
9/17+0.9 pts
expected 8.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsYes price · entry 41¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |