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What this means. A wallet put $16.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?missed
$16.8k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Crypto

What happened

Wallet tsekinming01 took No (sell) for $16.8k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
84¢
Implied odds
16.0%
Size
$16.8k
Placed
May 28, 22:24 EDT
Market close
Jun 01, 13:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsekinming01
Tx
0x962a3d73…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -16 pts
No price · entry 84¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 84¢ · $16.8k WHALE $16.8K @ 84¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $12.8k100% Hans323142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $93.3k
3.1× usual
100% Slowroasted142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k
2.1× usual
100% Lolakis142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $351.6k100% BecauseNo NEW142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $360.0k
7.9× usual
100% LlamaEnjoyer142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% veryverysure NEW142d agoexcluded