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Avalanche vs. Wildexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $69.5k on Avalanche, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Avalanche vs. Wildexcluded$69.5k
BUY Avalanche @ 57¢ · 121,904 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Avalanche (buy) for $69.5k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Avalanche. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $69.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Avalanche wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $69.5k
- Placed
- May 11, 19:43 EDT
- Market close
- May 11, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Avalanche
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x95e39ccc…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +43 ptsAvalanche price · entry 57¢ · resolved Avalanche
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Wild | LOW SELL Avalanche @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | LOW BUY Avalanche @ 57¢ | $13.7k | called |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | MED BUY Avalanche @ 56¢ | $120.9k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | LOW BUY Wild @ 44¢ | $26.1k | missed |
| Avalanche vs. Wild | LOW BUY Avalanche @ 55¢ | $15.0k | called |