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What this means. A wallet put $14.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -23.0 pts vs the price over 30 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.4k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 25,309 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gransaaa took No (buy) for $14.4k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−133American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 57.0%
- As American odds
- −133 no vig
- Size
- $14.4k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 00:23 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 21, 12:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gransaaa
- Tx
- 0x958b0fd5…
This wallet's graded record
8/30-23.0 pts
expected 14.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsNo price · entry 57¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 94.6¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $12.2k | missed |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $30.4k | called |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 57¢ | $71.2k | missed |