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What this means. A wallet put $20.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -19.3 pts vs the price over 28 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.8k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 32,539 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet surfandturf took Yes (buy) for $20.8k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $20.8k
- Placed
- May 10, 10:15 EDT
- Market close
- May 10, 11:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- surfandturf
- Tx
- 0x9582af92…
This wallet's graded record
10/28-19.3 pts
expected 15.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +36 ptsYes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $94.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.9k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |