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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$29.8k

Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

0x2c33…0563 bought Nemiga at 31¢. The price gave that side a 31% chance. 96,061 shares, Oct 29, 03:06 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $29.8k on Nemiga, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market resolved Nemiga, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Nemiga for $29.8k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied 31% for the side they took. The market resolved Nemiga. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 2 of 4 on graded bets, +4.7 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $29.8k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nemiga wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +69 pts
Nemiga price · entry 31¢ · resolved Nemiga
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 31¢ · $29.8k WHALE $29.8K @ 31¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
[05]

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