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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
BUY Yes @ 35¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet jocpolitic took Yes (buy) for $14.0k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 35.0%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- May 06, 19:20 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jocpolitic
- Tx
- 0x94ac1e73…
This wallet's graded record
10/14-0.4 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $106.7k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.2¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $20.3k | excluded |