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What this means. A wallet put $26.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.0k
BUY Yes @ 52¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took Yes (buy) for $26.0k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $26.0k
- Placed
- Jun 25, 11:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 25, 22:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0x94053d38…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsYes price · entry 52¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $33.2k | excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | HIGH BUY No @ 93¢ | $163.7k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $52.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $141.5k 3.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $46.7k | excluded |