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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$36.4k

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs

NS13 bought Natus Vincere at 29¢. The price gave that side a 29% chance. 125,460 shares, Oct 29, 02:02 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $36.4k on Natus Vincere, at a price that gave it a 29% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet NS13 bought Natus Vincere for $36.4k at an average 29¢. At that price the market implied 29% for the side they took. The market resolved Vitality, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 1 of 4 on graded bets, -13.5 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $36.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What 29¢ means
29%chance the market gave
+245American odds
$1.00paid per share if Natus Vincere wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -29 pts
Natus Vincere price · entry 29¢ · resolved Vitality
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 29¢ · $36.4k WHALE $36.4K @ 29¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $21.1k0% kahe9h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $23.3k0% Kkunn9h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $79.5k
3.5× usual
0% fantasy77889h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $11.7k0% johnny2349h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% SKIAFGSDGSD NEW9h agoExcluded
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest PlayoffsLOW SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% aaaa2989h agoExcluded