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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$25.3k

Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu

omnibus-076daa bought Claire Liu at 45¢. The price gave that side a 45% chance. 55,692 shares, 2 fills, Oct 30, 07:11 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $25.3k on Claire Liu, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. The market resolved Xinran Sun, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet omnibus-076daa bought Claire Liu for $25.3k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied 45% for the side they took. The market resolved Xinran Sun. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 1 of 1 on graded bets, +51.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Med. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $25.3k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 45¢ means
45%chance the market gave
+120American odds
$1.00paid per share if Claire Liu wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -45 pts
Claire Liu price · entry 45¢ · resolved Xinran Sun
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 45¢ · $25.3k WHALE $25.3K @ 45¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW SELL Xinran Sun @ 99.9¢ $36.6k
2.0× usual
0% kkookkoo1h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW SELL Xinran Sun @ 84¢ $14.3k16% tennistrader201h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW Xinran Sun UP +14.0 pts $308.9k
24h vol
60% —2h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW BUY Xinran Sun @ 64¢ $14.0k64% kkookkoo3h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW BUY Claire Liu @ 57¢ $16.5k57% 0x2c33…05633h agoExcluded
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire LiuLOW BUY Xinran Sun @ 43¢ $10.8k43% Kkunn3h agoExcluded