← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $39.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-0.3 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$39.7k
BUY No @ 99.3¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet betwick took No (buy) for $39.7k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $39.7k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−14186American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.3¢
- Implied odds
- 99.3%
- Size
- $39.7k
- Placed
- Dec 08, 11:21 EST
- Market close
- Dec 09, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- betwick
- Tx
- 0x8fe6bad0…
This wallet's graded record
12/21-0.3 pts
expected 12.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $126.9k 6.2× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $39.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $225.2k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $100.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $19.4k | excluded |