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What this means. A wallet put $42.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$42.9k
BUY No @ 96.1¢ · 44,704 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took No (buy) for $42.9k at an average 96.1¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $42.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2436American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.1¢
- Implied odds
- 96.1%
- Size
- $42.9k
- Placed
- Jul 02, 13:38 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x8fa8774b…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $172.6k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |