← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 25% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
BUY Yes @ 25¢ · 65,550 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet su281 took Yes (buy) for $16.4k at an average 25¢. At that price the market implied a 25% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 25¢ means
25%chance the market gave
+300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 25¢
- Implied odds
- 25.0%
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 17:26 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 18:08 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- su281
- Tx
- 0x8f2a0fd0…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-2.8 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $169.7k 11.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.3k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |