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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 15,034 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet 0x440a…035a took Yes (sell) for $15.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- May 30, 16:52 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 18:08 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x440a…035a
- Tx
- 0xc2a9a3d3…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-15.6 pts
expected 0.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $169.7k 11.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $44.3k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |