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Sebastianpazos

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?+$8Yes · avg 55¢ → 98¢ · $18
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$11.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$11.8k
Last 30 days +$2 · $391.7k volume · 635 trades · since May 26, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$16.9k
Open P&L · 186 positions
−$26.0k
Closed-position win rate
78%
234 closed
Wallet age · markets
151d
456 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% 146d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xd614b8…