← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $158.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 35% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$158.8k
BUY No @ 35¢ · 459,086 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hOther
What happened
Wallet 0xa2cd…2ba0 took No (buy) for $158.8k at an average 35¢. At that price the market implied a 35% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $158.8k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 35¢ means
35%chance the market gave
+189American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 35¢
- Implied odds
- 34.6%
- Size
- $158.8k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 18:10 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xa2cd…2ba0
- Tx
- 0x8e02c701…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -35 ptsNo price · entry 35¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |