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What this means. A wallet put $59.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$59.9k
SELL Yes @ 85¢ · 70,645 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Brokie took Yes (sell) for $59.9k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $59.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 15.2%
- Size
- $59.9k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 02:16 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Brokie
- Tx
- 0x8dc7cd2d…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-15.9 pts
expected 0.3 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |