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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.2k
SELL No @ 98.3¢ · 12,389 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet 0xca1d…dd3c took No (sell) for $12.2k at an average 98.3¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.3¢
- Implied odds
- 1.7%
- Size
- $12.2k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 23:01 EST
- Market close
- Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xca1d…dd3c
- Tx
- 0x8cb7b8f9…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $400.5k | excluded |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $203.0k | excluded |