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What this means. A wallet put $77.3k on Lakers, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded
$77.3k
BUY Lakers @ 40¢ · 193,273 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet BABELCONSTEL took Lakers (buy) for $77.3k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Rockets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $77.3k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lakers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$77.3k
Placed
Apr 26, 21:39 EDT
Market close
Apr 26, 21:30 EDT
Result
Rockets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
BABELCONSTEL
Tx
0x89e6ed65…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-17.5 pts
expected 2.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -40 pts
Lakers price · entry 40¢ · resolved Rockets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $77.3k WHALE $77.3K @ 40¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% VEQT180d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $39.3k
2.1× usual
0% 0x418d…88a3180d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% 0Ebe180d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% lasiweijiasi180d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $73.9k
2.7× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN180d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% kahe180d agoexcluded