← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $30.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 73% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.0k
BUY No @ 73¢ · 41,096 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xbe48…683f took No (buy) for $30.0k at an average 73¢. At that price the market implied a 73% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $30.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 73¢ means
73%chance the market gave
−270American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 73¢
- Implied odds
- 73.0%
- Size
- $30.0k
- Placed
- Mar 16, 18:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xbe48…683f
- Tx
- 0x899231a6…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-22.8 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.3k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |