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What this means. A wallet put $33.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.7k
SELL No @ 96.2¢ · 35,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 1610desktop took No (sell) for $33.7k at an average 96.2¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $33.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.2¢
- Implied odds
- 3.8%
- Size
- $33.7k
- Placed
- Feb 18, 13:42 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 1610desktop
- Tx
- 0x88e9f70f…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+6.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $68.8k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |