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Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $17.9k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 22% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.9k
SELL Thunder @ 78¢ · 22,988 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet BABELCONSTEL took Thunder (sell) for $17.9k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 22% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 22.3%
- As American odds
- +348 no vig
- Size
- $17.9k
- Placed
- May 07, 22:37 EDT
- Market close
- May 07, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- BABELCONSTEL
- Tx
- 0x86abced6…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-17.5 pts
expected 2.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $56.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $32.8k | excluded |