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Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on not Thunder, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lakers vs. Thunderexcluded$12.8k
SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ · 12,861 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x8b52…568e took Thunder (sell) for $12.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- May 08, 00:41 EDT
- Market close
- May 07, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x8b52…568e
- Tx
- 0x4b4cf2ea…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+24.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $56.5k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $32.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $19.0k | excluded |