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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 19,424 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet one8tyfive took No (buy) for $16.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−562American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 84.9%
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Jan 10, 18:59 EST
- Market close
- Jan 26, 01:20 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- one8tyfive
- Tx
- 0x8677f6bb…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+12.4 pts
expected 11.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 68¢ | $33.1k | called | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 30¢ | $114.2k 2.9× usual |
called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $45.8k | missed | |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $16.3k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $15.0k | called |