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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.0k
BUY Yes @ 40¢ · 25,147 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet winnerwinnerchickendinne took Yes (buy) for $10.0k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.0k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+151American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 39.8%
- As American odds
- +151 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 15:06 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- winnerwinnerchickendinne
- Tx
- 0x85956bd3…
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Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsYes price · entry 40¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |