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What this means. A wallet put $23.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.5k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 27,723 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $23.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−555American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 84.7%
- Size
- $23.5k
- Placed
- Jan 11, 04:17 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x8224ee61…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $17.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $30.2k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $78.3k 2.4× usual |
excluded |