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What this means. A wallet put $77.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+8.5 pts over 35 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$77.1k
BUY No @ 85¢ · 90,761 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet4.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet MisTKy took No (buy) for $77.1k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $77.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- Size
- $77.1k
- Placed
- Aug 05, 14:20 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisTKy
- Tx
- 0x81e18a2c…
This wallet's graded record
25/35+8.5 pts
expected 22.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $37.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |