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What this means. A wallet put $18.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?excluded
$18.1k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 18,144 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet Namangchuba1 took No (sell) for $18.1k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $18.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$18.1k
Placed
Mar 14, 22:58 EDT
Market close
Mar 17, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Namangchuba1
Tx
0x815bdadd…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $18.1k WHALE $18.1K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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