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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?called
$19.0k
SELL Yes @ 55¢ · 34,324 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet wan123 took Yes (sell) for $19.0k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
55¢
Implied odds
44.8%
Size
$19.0k
Placed
Apr 17, 13:55 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wan123
Tx
0x8128cf58…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.7k0% Melody626176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% A27c5517AE9001169C09Efdd176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% AcherontaMovebo176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $65.8k100% testlp176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $18.9k0% 0x436f…2c7f176d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $21.0k0% OkieDokiePeon176d agoexcluded