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What this means. A wallet put $25.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.0k
BUY No @ 91.8¢ · 27,243 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Chelseaone took No (buy) for $25.0k at an average 91.8¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1115American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.8¢
- Implied odds
- 91.8%
- Size
- $25.0k
- Placed
- May 24, 19:22 EDT
- Market close
- May 25, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Chelseaone
- Tx
- 0x800c7d18…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+7.8 pts
expected 9.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +8 ptsNo price · entry 91.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.6k | excluded |