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What this means. A wallet put $14.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?excluded
$14.9k
BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ · 15,163 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoritePolitics

What happened

Wallet tsekinming01 took Yes (buy) for $14.9k at an average 98.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
98.5¢
Implied odds
98.5%
Size
$14.9k
Placed
Sep 20, 17:26 EDT
Market close
Sep 21, 08:43 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsekinming01
Tx
0x7feeccf1…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +2 pts
Yes price · entry 98.5¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.5¢ · $14.9k WHALE $14.9K @ 98.5¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

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