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What this means. A wallet put $25.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.2k
SELL Yes @ 61¢ · 41,345 shares
Size ≥ $10kPolitics
What happened
Wallet steeplejack took Yes (sell) for $25.2k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- Size
- $25.2k
- Placed
- Jun 06, 17:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- steeplejack
- Tx
- 0x7effd3cd…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-32.5 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -39 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |