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What this means. A wallet put $78.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$78.2k
BUY No @ 97.8¢ · 80,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)5.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet elPolloLoco took No (buy) for $78.2k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $78.2k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4445American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 97.8%
- As American odds
- −4445 no vig
- Size
- $78.2k
- Placed
- May 15, 08:52 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elPolloLoco
- Tx
- 0x7e8e388a…
This wallet's graded record
5/12+5.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |