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What this means. A wallet put $22.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.8k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 22,814 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet redbaron23 took No (sell) for $22.8k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $22.8k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 20:03 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redbaron23
- Tx
- 0x00a35950…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $12.3k | excluded |