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What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 77% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.0k
BUY No @ 77¢ · 25,840 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet rodrigr28 took No (buy) for $20.0k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 77% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 77¢ means
77%chance the market gave
−342American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 77.4%
- As American odds
- −342 no vig
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 12:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- rodrigr28
- Tx
- 0x7ca5c0eb…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-37.0 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -77 ptsNo price · entry 77¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |