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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 23% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
SELL Yes @ 77¢ · 18,989 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet jeyjeyjey took Yes (sell) for $14.6k at an average 77¢. At that price the market implied a 23% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 77¢
- Implied odds
- 23.3%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Dec 13, 08:09 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jeyjeyjey
- Tx
- 0x7bed887b…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-23.8 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |