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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 16¢ · 303,030 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet freee67thewhale took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 16¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 16¢ means
16%chance the market gave
+506American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
16¢
Implied odds
16.5%
As American odds
+506 no vig
Size
$50.0k
Placed
Jun 12, 15:49 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
freee67thewhale
Tx
0x7b3ec797…
This wallet's graded record
6/11+2.0 pts
expected 5.8 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $35.7k0% Deido97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $43.0k0% neymar197d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.7k0% 0x929a…a3d897d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $100.3k0% Djdjdjekekek97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $64.7k0% 0x37ee…f86f97d agoexcluded
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.5k0% Nihaww97d agoexcluded