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What this means. A wallet put $13.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.0k
SELL Yes @ 5¢ · 260,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet LT1 took Yes (sell) for $13.0k at an average 5¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 5¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- As American odds
- −1900 no vig
- Size
- $13.0k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 15:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 03:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LT1
- Tx
- 0x79b9a2fd…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 5¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $28.0k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.3¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $17.2k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 3.2¢ | $16.2k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.8¢ | $23.2k | missed |