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What this means. A wallet put $33.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 33,004 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteSports
What happened
Wallet bin74848484848 took No (buy) for $33.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $33.0k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 23:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 30, 03:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- bin74848484848
- Tx
- 0x31db8b23…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-12.2 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97¢ | $28.0k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 5¢ | $13.0k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.3¢ | $15.0k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 4.7¢ | $17.2k | missed |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 3.2¢ | $16.2k | called |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 5.8¢ | $23.2k | missed |