← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $199.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-2.9 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$199.6k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 200,020 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)7.5× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet TheReturnOfDarthMaul took Yes (buy) for $199.6k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $199.6k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 99.8%
- Size
- $199.6k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 13:41 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- TheReturnOfDarthMaul
- Tx
- 0x77fb4641…
This wallet's graded record
15/22-2.9 pts
expected 15.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $112.5k | excluded |